Schurz Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Wabuska 6 Se. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 31 and the first fall freeze around September 17, a growing season of about 107 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last May 31, first September 17
- Median at 28°F
- last May 15, first September 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 21 | Jun 14 | Jun 8 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 23 | May 18 | May 11 |
| 28°F | Jun 6 | May 31 | May 26 | May 21 | May 15 | May 11 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 26 |
| 24°F | May 27 | May 17 | May 10 | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 20°F | May 12 | May 3 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 1 |
| 16°F | May 1 | Apr 20 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 25 | Mar 16 | Mar 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 2 |
| 28°F | Sep 13 | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 14 |
| 24°F | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 26 |
| 20°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 16°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 104 | 95 | 88 | 84 | 79 | 74 | 67 | 61 | 51 |
| 32°F | 131 | 123 | 118 | 113 | 107 | 102 | 97 | 90 | 82 |
| 28°F | 160 | 153 | 147 | 142 | 136 | 131 | 126 | 119 | 109 |
| 24°F | 183 | 174 | 169 | 164 | 160 | 155 | 149 | 143 | 131 |
| 20°F | 208 | 200 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 179 | 174 | 167 | 158 |
| 16°F | 241 | 231 | 222 | 216 | 210 | 205 | 199 | 192 | 181 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,832
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 612
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,835
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,654
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,656
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,831
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,150
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,034 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 804 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 676 | 0 | 20 |
| April | 494 | 0 | 72 |
| May | 259 | 22 | 255 |
| June | 76 | 102 | 479 |
| July | 6 | 260 | 719 |
| August | 13 | 188 | 640 |
| September | 130 | 40 | 367 |
| October | 463 | 1 | 95 |
| November | 791 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,088 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 29.9 km from Schurz. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00268822 (Wabuska 6 Se). Public domain.