Lincoln County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Caliente. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 3 and the first fall freeze around October 9, a growing season of about 156 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 3, first October 9
- Median at 28°F
- last April 20, first October 20
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 3 |
| 32°F | May 23 | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 19 | Mar 11 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 21 | Feb 17 | Feb 13 | Feb 7 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 |
| 32°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 |
| 28°F | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 24°F | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 |
| 20°F | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 |
| 16°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 152 | 146 | 140 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 123 | 117 | 111 |
| 32°F | 176 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 148 | 143 | 135 |
| 28°F | 202 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 176 | 171 | 166 | 159 |
| 24°F | 232 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 192 | 183 |
| 20°F | 264 | 256 | 251 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 222 | 213 |
| 16°F | 295 | 287 | 279 | 274 | 270 | 265 | 261 | 256 | 246 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,061
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 986
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,696
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,423
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,334
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,408
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,631
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 975 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 757 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 615 | 0 | 25 |
| April | 413 | 1 | 107 |
| May | 178 | 35 | 335 |
| June | 30 | 176 | 596 |
| July | 1 | 368 | 832 |
| August | 2 | 305 | 769 |
| September | 55 | 98 | 494 |
| October | 346 | 4 | 164 |
| November | 698 | 0 | 11 |
| December | 992 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 31.1 km from Lincoln County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00261358 (Caliente). Public domain.