Lemmon Valley Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Stead. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 8 and the first fall freeze around October 12, a growing season of about 150 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 1, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last May 8, first October 12
- Median at 28°F
- last April 23, first October 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 24 | May 18 | May 11 |
| 32°F | Jun 2 | May 26 | May 18 | May 13 | May 8 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 |
| 28°F | May 13 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 7 |
| 24°F | Apr 28 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 26 | Mar 17 |
| 20°F | Apr 10 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 25 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 13 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 |
| 32°F | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 |
| 28°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 |
| 24°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 20°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 144 | 136 | 132 | 127 | 122 | 118 | 113 | 108 | 100 |
| 32°F | 175 | 168 | 162 | 156 | 150 | 145 | 141 | 135 | 127 |
| 28°F | 205 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 172 | 165 | 157 |
| 24°F | 231 | 223 | 217 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 196 | 191 | 182 |
| 20°F | 271 | 260 | 251 | 247 | 240 | 234 | 227 | 219 | 209 |
| 16°F | 311 | 299 | 289 | 281 | 274 | 268 | 261 | 253 | 243 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,665
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 596
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,821
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,615
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,609
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,794
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,131
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 972 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 790 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 705 | 0 | 14 |
| April | 537 | 0 | 52 |
| May | 303 | 11 | 209 |
| June | 103 | 76 | 427 |
| July | 7 | 251 | 708 |
| August | 12 | 193 | 646 |
| September | 106 | 61 | 410 |
| October | 415 | 4 | 128 |
| November | 737 | 0 | 12 |
| December | 979 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.7 km from Lemmon Valley. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00267820 (Stead). Public domain.