Ely Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Ely Yelland Fld AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 12 and the first fall freeze around September 13, a growing season of about 91 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 12, first September 13
- Median at 28°F
- last May 31, first September 23
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 28 | Jun 23 | Jun 19 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | May 29 |
| 28°F | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 27 | May 22 | May 17 | May 11 |
| 24°F | Jun 5 | May 28 | May 21 | May 17 | May 13 | May 9 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 23 |
| 20°F | May 17 | May 10 | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 8 |
| 16°F | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 19 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 |
| 28°F | Sep 8 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 |
| 24°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 |
| 20°F | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 16°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 88 | 82 | 76 | 72 | 69 | 65 | 60 | 55 | 45 |
| 32°F | 112 | 104 | 99 | 94 | 91 | 86 | 82 | 77 | 70 |
| 28°F | 136 | 129 | 124 | 118 | 115 | 110 | 105 | 98 | 91 |
| 24°F | 167 | 159 | 153 | 148 | 143 | 138 | 132 | 125 | 116 |
| 20°F | 194 | 187 | 182 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 161 | 154 | 145 |
| 16°F | 221 | 213 | 206 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 178 | 170 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,167
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 298
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,824
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,796
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,951
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,263
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 710
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,187 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 980 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 848 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 654 | 0 | 19 |
| May | 422 | 2 | 123 |
| June | 148 | 36 | 347 |
| July | 14 | 146 | 597 |
| August | 28 | 104 | 541 |
| September | 210 | 12 | 270 |
| October | 577 | 0 | 50 |
| November | 899 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,201 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.5 km from Ely. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00023154 (Ely Yelland Fld AP). Public domain.