Scribner Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for W Pt. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 28 and the first fall freeze around October 12, a growing season of about 165 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 7, first October 1
- Median at 32°F
- last April 28, first October 12
- Median at 28°F
- last April 17, first October 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 |
| 32°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 24°F | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 23 |
| 20°F | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 |
| 16°F | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 18 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
| 32°F | Sep 26 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 |
| 28°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 24°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
| 20°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 165 | 159 | 154 | 151 | 147 | 144 | 140 | 136 | 129 |
| 32°F | 186 | 179 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 146 |
| 28°F | 205 | 199 | 194 | 190 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 165 |
| 24°F | 226 | 219 | 213 | 208 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 184 |
| 20°F | 244 | 237 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 214 | 209 | 200 |
| 16°F | 262 | 254 | 250 | 245 | 241 | 237 | 233 | 228 | 221 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,775
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 914
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,234
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,128
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,141
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,272
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,529
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,378 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,126 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 880 | 1 | 24 |
| April | 502 | 7 | 103 |
| May | 202 | 57 | 338 |
| June | 27 | 201 | 624 |
| July | 5 | 307 | 767 |
| August | 12 | 236 | 690 |
| September | 119 | 95 | 432 |
| October | 443 | 11 | 143 |
| November | 846 | 0 | 20 |
| December | 1,237 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.2 km from Scribner. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00259200 (W Pt). Public domain.