Pawnee County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Table Rock 4N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 23 and the first fall freeze around October 13, a growing season of about 172 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 3, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 23, first October 13
- Median at 28°F
- last April 12, first October 23
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 |
| 24°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 20°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
| 16°F | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Sep 28 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 28°F | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 24°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 |
| 20°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 29 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 10 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 146 | 140 | 133 |
| 32°F | 192 | 185 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 151 |
| 28°F | 211 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 172 |
| 24°F | 234 | 225 | 221 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 190 |
| 20°F | 254 | 247 | 241 | 236 | 232 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 209 |
| 16°F | 275 | 267 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 240 | 234 | 226 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,916
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,118
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,789
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,598
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,540
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,605
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,797
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,243 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 997 | 0 | 5 |
| March | 760 | 2 | 46 |
| April | 426 | 8 | 142 |
| May | 162 | 69 | 383 |
| June | 13 | 229 | 666 |
| July | 2 | 365 | 827 |
| August | 5 | 301 | 761 |
| September | 87 | 126 | 491 |
| October | 365 | 18 | 190 |
| November | 743 | 1 | 28 |
| December | 1,113 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.5 km from Pawnee County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00258410 (Table Rock 4N). Public domain.