Neligh Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Oakdale. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 4 and the first fall freeze around October 4, a growing season of about 153 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 13, first September 27
- Median at 32°F
- last May 4, first October 4
- Median at 28°F
- last April 23, first October 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 27 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 |
| 32°F | May 17 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 28°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 20°F | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 16°F | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 14 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 32°F | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 24°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 20°F | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 16°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 152 | 147 | 142 | 139 | 135 | 132 | 128 | 123 | 117 |
| 32°F | 171 | 165 | 160 | 157 | 153 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 134 |
| 28°F | 192 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 153 |
| 24°F | 213 | 207 | 202 | 197 | 194 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 173 |
| 20°F | 234 | 226 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 198 | 192 |
| 16°F | 253 | 244 | 239 | 235 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 209 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,035
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 735
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,850
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,767
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,813
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,987
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,295
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,361 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,118 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 900 | 1 | 19 |
| April | 545 | 4 | 82 |
| May | 254 | 37 | 279 |
| June | 48 | 154 | 557 |
| July | 9 | 260 | 716 |
| August | 19 | 199 | 645 |
| September | 148 | 75 | 387 |
| October | 496 | 6 | 113 |
| November | 884 | 0 | 15 |
| December | 1,254 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 8.9 km from Neligh. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00256135 (Oakdale). Public domain.