Madison Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Madison. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 6, a growing season of about 160 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 8, first September 28
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 6
- Median at 28°F
- last April 19, first October 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 8 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
| 28°F | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 |
| 20°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 |
| 16°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 |
| 32°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 24°F | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 20°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 160 | 153 | 148 | 145 | 142 | 139 | 135 | 131 | 126 |
| 32°F | 180 | 173 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 147 | 141 |
| 28°F | 200 | 193 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 160 |
| 24°F | 219 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 181 |
| 20°F | 238 | 231 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 208 | 203 | 195 |
| 16°F | 256 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 233 | 229 | 225 | 219 | 212 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,810
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 836
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,092
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,991
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,012
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,161
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,431
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,359 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,107 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 890 | 0 | 16 |
| April | 514 | 4 | 89 |
| May | 212 | 48 | 318 |
| June | 33 | 189 | 606 |
| July | 6 | 279 | 738 |
| August | 12 | 224 | 677 |
| September | 122 | 84 | 418 |
| October | 456 | 8 | 132 |
| November | 855 | 0 | 17 |
| December | 1,244 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.4 km from Madison. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00255080 (Madison). Public domain.