Madison County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Norfolk Karl Stefan AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 157 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 9, first September 28
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 20, first October 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 23 | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 27 |
| 32°F | May 14 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 |
| 28°F | May 5 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 24°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 20°F | Apr 15 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
| 16°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 14 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 24°F | Oct 11 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 |
| 20°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 16°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 157 | 152 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 132 | 128 | 120 |
| 32°F | 176 | 169 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 154 | 150 | 144 | 138 |
| 28°F | 198 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 164 | 157 |
| 24°F | 218 | 211 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 178 |
| 20°F | 238 | 231 | 225 | 220 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 195 |
| 16°F | 257 | 249 | 244 | 240 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 214 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,623
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 907
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,250
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,127
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,133
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,263
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,519
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,325 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,083 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 844 | 1 | 28 |
| April | 488 | 7 | 104 |
| May | 206 | 54 | 330 |
| June | 29 | 191 | 612 |
| July | 4 | 308 | 769 |
| August | 11 | 240 | 694 |
| September | 116 | 96 | 436 |
| October | 449 | 10 | 140 |
| November | 848 | 0 | 18 |
| December | 1,220 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.7 km from Madison County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014941 (Norfolk Karl Stefan AP). Public domain.