Lancaster County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lincoln Muni AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 24 and the first fall freeze around October 13, a growing season of about 171 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 2, first October 4
- Median at 32°F
- last April 24, first October 13
- Median at 28°F
- last April 15, first October 22
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 16 | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 |
| 24°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 9 |
| 16°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 27 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 |
| 32°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 |
| 28°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 |
| 24°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 20°F | Oct 25 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 171 | 165 | 160 | 157 | 153 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 134 |
| 32°F | 189 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 158 | 151 |
| 28°F | 207 | 201 | 196 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 181 | 176 | 169 |
| 24°F | 228 | 220 | 215 | 211 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 186 |
| 20°F | 250 | 243 | 236 | 232 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 212 | 204 |
| 16°F | 269 | 262 | 256 | 251 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 222 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,856
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,270
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,983
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,791
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,726
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,785
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,964
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,240 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 994 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 741 | 2 | 45 |
| April | 401 | 11 | 151 |
| May | 143 | 84 | 412 |
| June | 12 | 271 | 709 |
| July | 1 | 405 | 869 |
| August | 3 | 333 | 795 |
| September | 77 | 143 | 518 |
| October | 367 | 20 | 193 |
| November | 755 | 1 | 28 |
| December | 1,122 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 9 km from Lancaster County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00014939 (Lincoln Muni AP). Public domain.