Hershey Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hershey 5 Sse. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 4 and the first fall freeze around October 9, a growing season of about 156 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 12, first September 30
- Median at 32°F
- last May 4, first October 9
- Median at 28°F
- last April 24, first October 19
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 29 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 12 | May 10 | May 8 | May 6 | May 2 |
| 32°F | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 28°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 |
| 24°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 20°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 14 |
| 16°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 |
| 32°F | Sep 23 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 |
| 28°F | Oct 4 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 24°F | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 20°F | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 |
| 16°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 155 | 150 | 145 | 141 | 138 | 135 | 130 | 125 | 119 |
| 32°F | 174 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 148 | 144 | 137 |
| 28°F | 194 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 155 |
| 24°F | 216 | 209 | 203 | 200 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 181 | 175 |
| 20°F | 236 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 204 | 198 | 190 |
| 16°F | 257 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 222 | 216 | 207 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,390
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 808
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,085
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,950
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,957
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,108
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,393
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,189 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 1,001 | 0 | 2 |
| March | 820 | 0 | 20 |
| April | 534 | 2 | 77 |
| May | 254 | 29 | 271 |
| June | 39 | 148 | 561 |
| July | 6 | 295 | 755 |
| August | 12 | 241 | 694 |
| September | 118 | 86 | 426 |
| October | 454 | 6 | 133 |
| November | 821 | 0 | 16 |
| December | 1,144 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 6.3 km from Hershey. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00253810 (Hershey 5 Sse). Public domain.