Arapahoe Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Edison. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 1 and the first fall freeze around October 7, a growing season of about 157 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 9, first September 29
- Median at 32°F
- last May 1, first October 7
- Median at 28°F
- last April 21, first October 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 25 | May 18 | May 14 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 32°F | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 15 |
| 28°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
| 24°F | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 25 |
| 20°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 |
| 16°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
| 32°F | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 6 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 |
| 24°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 |
| 20°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 157 | 152 | 148 | 145 | 141 | 138 | 134 | 129 | 123 |
| 32°F | 176 | 168 | 165 | 161 | 157 | 154 | 149 | 145 | 139 |
| 28°F | 200 | 192 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 156 |
| 24°F | 219 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 183 | 175 |
| 20°F | 238 | 231 | 225 | 220 | 215 | 212 | 208 | 202 | 194 |
| 16°F | 259 | 251 | 245 | 240 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 219 | 211 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,002
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 983
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,437
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,282
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,261
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,375
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,618
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,141 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 953 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 768 | 0 | 29 |
| April | 461 | 5 | 108 |
| May | 199 | 50 | 339 |
| June | 20 | 201 | 631 |
| July | 2 | 335 | 798 |
| August | 6 | 277 | 736 |
| September | 105 | 107 | 458 |
| October | 426 | 8 | 143 |
| November | 797 | 0 | 15 |
| December | 1,126 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.3 km from Arapahoe. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00252560 (Edison). Public domain.