Shelby Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Shelby. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 23 and the first fall freeze around September 16, a growing season of about 115 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 5, first September 5
- Median at 32°F
- last May 23, first September 16
- Median at 28°F
- last May 10, first September 26
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 21 | Jun 16 | Jun 11 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 28 | May 23 |
| 32°F | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 |
| 28°F | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 12 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 |
| 20°F | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 2 |
| 16°F | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 23 | Aug 28 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 5 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 18 |
| 32°F | Sep 3 | Sep 7 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 |
| 28°F | Sep 13 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 24°F | Sep 21 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 20°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 16°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 107 | 101 | 97 | 94 | 90 | 86 | 82 | 77 | 70 |
| 32°F | 132 | 127 | 122 | 119 | 115 | 111 | 107 | 102 | 97 |
| 28°F | 155 | 149 | 145 | 142 | 138 | 136 | 132 | 127 | 121 |
| 24°F | 178 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 156 | 151 | 145 | 140 |
| 20°F | 200 | 193 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 165 | 157 |
| 16°F | 218 | 211 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 181 | 173 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,532
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 242
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,424
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,481
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,697
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,059
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 569
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,434 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,187 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,049 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 711 | 0 | 18 |
| May | 431 | 4 | 122 |
| June | 190 | 19 | 287 |
| July | 52 | 109 | 522 |
| August | 74 | 97 | 490 |
| September | 292 | 12 | 213 |
| October | 695 | 0 | 41 |
| November | 1,056 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,361 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.9 km from Shelby. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00247500 (Shelby). Public domain.