Plains Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Superior. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 17 and the first fall freeze around September 23, a growing season of about 125 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 5, first September 9
- Median at 32°F
- last May 17, first September 23
- Median at 28°F
- last May 1, first October 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jul 3 | Jun 25 | Jun 18 | Jun 11 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 29 | May 25 | May 20 |
| 32°F | Jun 8 | May 30 | May 25 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 | May 10 | May 6 | May 1 |
| 28°F | May 19 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 16 |
| 24°F | May 4 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 25 |
| 20°F | Apr 18 | Apr 7 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 |
| 16°F | Mar 25 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 24 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 25 |
| 32°F | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 7 |
| 28°F | Sep 20 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 24 |
| 24°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 10 |
| 20°F | Oct 18 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 |
| 16°F | Oct 27 | Nov 1 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 118 | 109 | 103 | 97 | 92 | 87 | 79 | 70 | 62 |
| 32°F | 150 | 142 | 136 | 131 | 125 | 120 | 114 | 106 | 96 |
| 28°F | 180 | 172 | 166 | 161 | 157 | 152 | 147 | 138 | 128 |
| 24°F | 220 | 210 | 202 | 197 | 191 | 185 | 179 | 171 | 160 |
| 20°F | 255 | 246 | 240 | 234 | 228 | 223 | 215 | 208 | 195 |
| 16°F | 283 | 273 | 266 | 260 | 254 | 248 | 242 | 235 | 224 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,694
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 400
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,098
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,026
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,129
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,393
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 815
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,127 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 920 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 775 | 0 | 4 |
| April | 557 | 0 | 40 |
| May | 309 | 8 | 193 |
| June | 143 | 41 | 351 |
| July | 32 | 173 | 606 |
| August | 34 | 151 | 583 |
| September | 190 | 26 | 295 |
| October | 552 | 0 | 56 |
| November | 903 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,153 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 29.7 km from Plains. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00024159 (Superior). Public domain.