Lolo Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Missoula 2 Ne. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 10 and the first fall freeze around October 1, a growing season of about 143 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 1, first September 19
- Median at 32°F
- last May 10, first October 1
- Median at 28°F
- last April 28, first October 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 24 | Jun 16 | Jun 10 | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 25 | May 19 | May 12 |
| 32°F | May 28 | May 22 | May 17 | May 14 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 27 |
| 28°F | May 11 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
| 24°F | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
| 20°F | Apr 9 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 22 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 14 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 3 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 |
| 32°F | Sep 16 | Sep 22 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 |
| 28°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 |
| 24°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 10 |
| 20°F | Oct 18 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 16°F | Oct 24 | Oct 31 | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 132 | 124 | 119 | 114 | 109 | 104 | 99 | 93 | 83 |
| 32°F | 161 | 154 | 150 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 128 | 120 |
| 28°F | 188 | 181 | 174 | 171 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 154 | 148 |
| 24°F | 226 | 216 | 209 | 203 | 198 | 193 | 187 | 181 | 173 |
| 20°F | 260 | 250 | 243 | 236 | 230 | 226 | 220 | 213 | 204 |
| 16°F | 286 | 275 | 268 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 244 | 237 | 227 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,183
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 340
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,782
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,771
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,932
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,245
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 716
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,180 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 967 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 829 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 603 | 0 | 31 |
| May | 358 | 6 | 159 |
| June | 177 | 31 | 310 |
| July | 41 | 154 | 578 |
| August | 49 | 126 | 543 |
| September | 222 | 22 | 267 |
| October | 617 | 0 | 40 |
| November | 939 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,201 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.7 km from Lolo. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00245735 (Missoula 2 Ne). Public domain.