Four Corners Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Bozeman 6 W Exp Farm. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 23 and the first fall freeze around September 23, a growing season of about 123 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 13, first September 9
- Median at 32°F
- last May 23, first September 23
- Median at 28°F
- last May 2, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 30 | Jun 24 | Jun 20 | Jun 16 | Jun 13 | Jun 10 | Jun 6 | Jun 2 | May 26 |
| 32°F | Jun 12 | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 27 | May 23 | May 18 | May 15 | May 10 | May 5 |
| 28°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 24°F | May 6 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 20°F | Apr 26 | Apr 19 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 21 |
| 16°F | Apr 14 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 14 | Mar 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 22 | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 |
| 32°F | Sep 4 | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 |
| 28°F | Sep 17 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 |
| 24°F | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 20°F | Oct 7 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 16°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 111 | 102 | 97 | 92 | 87 | 82 | 78 | 71 | 63 |
| 32°F | 144 | 138 | 133 | 128 | 123 | 118 | 112 | 105 | 96 |
| 28°F | 171 | 165 | 160 | 156 | 153 | 149 | 144 | 139 | 131 |
| 24°F | 199 | 190 | 185 | 180 | 175 | 172 | 167 | 160 | 154 |
| 20°F | 221 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 188 | 181 | 173 |
| 16°F | 242 | 233 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 201 | 193 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,708
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 230
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,583
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,581
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,751
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,084
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 576
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,245 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,065 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 912 | 0 | 4 |
| April | 654 | 0 | 26 |
| May | 409 | 2 | 129 |
| June | 204 | 18 | 274 |
| July | 48 | 103 | 521 |
| August | 60 | 89 | 496 |
| September | 249 | 17 | 244 |
| October | 616 | 1 | 54 |
| November | 977 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,271 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.8 km from Four Corners. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00241047 (Bozeman 6 W Exp Farm). Public domain.