Florence Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Stevensville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 22 and the first fall freeze around September 19, a growing season of about 115 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last May 22, first September 19
- Median at 28°F
- last May 5, first October 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 13 | Jun 4 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 |
| 28°F | May 19 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 23 |
| 24°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 20°F | Apr 27 | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 14 |
| 16°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Sep 3 | Sep 8 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 2 |
| 28°F | Sep 15 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 |
| 24°F | Sep 26 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 20°F | Oct 7 | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 16°F | Oct 19 | Oct 26 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 102 | 94 | 89 | 83 | 77 | 72 | 65 | 58 | 49 |
| 32°F | 139 | 132 | 125 | 120 | 115 | 110 | 105 | 98 | 87 |
| 28°F | 166 | 159 | 154 | 150 | 147 | 142 | 139 | 134 | 126 |
| 24°F | 194 | 186 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 160 | 155 | 147 |
| 20°F | 228 | 220 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 197 | 191 | 185 | 174 |
| 16°F | 263 | 253 | 247 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 225 | 217 | 206 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,270
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 217
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,636
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,608
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,760
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,076
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 558
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,186 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 987 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 839 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 600 | 0 | 27 |
| May | 369 | 3 | 141 |
| June | 171 | 24 | 306 |
| July | 42 | 109 | 532 |
| August | 58 | 74 | 482 |
| September | 248 | 8 | 228 |
| October | 619 | 0 | 38 |
| November | 945 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,209 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.2 km from Florence. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00247894 (Stevensville). Public domain.