Colstrip Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Colstrip. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 15 and the first fall freeze around September 30, a growing season of about 138 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 26, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 15, first September 30
- Median at 28°F
- last May 3, first October 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 8 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 13 |
| 32°F | May 28 | May 24 | May 20 | May 17 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 2 |
| 28°F | May 16 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 18 |
| 24°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 27 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 21 |
| 16°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 6 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 4 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 |
| 32°F | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 |
| 28°F | Sep 23 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 20°F | Oct 9 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 17 | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 135 | 129 | 125 | 121 | 117 | 113 | 109 | 102 | 95 |
| 32°F | 157 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 138 | 134 | 130 | 125 | 118 |
| 28°F | 179 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 146 | 139 |
| 24°F | 200 | 194 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 175 | 171 | 166 | 158 |
| 20°F | 224 | 215 | 208 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 188 | 181 | 174 |
| 16°F | 246 | 236 | 229 | 224 | 217 | 211 | 206 | 199 | 189 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,369
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 510
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,186
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,147
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,267
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,539
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 952
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,251 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,089 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 915 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 641 | 0 | 39 |
| May | 368 | 8 | 173 |
| June | 123 | 59 | 390 |
| July | 24 | 213 | 654 |
| August | 40 | 183 | 609 |
| September | 207 | 44 | 312 |
| October | 595 | 3 | 71 |
| November | 908 | 0 | 9 |
| December | 1,210 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.4 km from Colstrip. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00241905 (Colstrip). Public domain.