Wright County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mansfield. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 11 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 197 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 23, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 11, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 28 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 28°F | Apr 14 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 12 |
| 24°F | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 26 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 11 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 20 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 2 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 8 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 7 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 | Dec 22 | Dec 31 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 194 | 187 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 161 | 154 |
| 32°F | 218 | 210 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 182 | 175 |
| 28°F | 241 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 206 | 199 |
| 24°F | 269 | 259 | 252 | 246 | 241 | 237 | 231 | 225 | 217 |
| 20°F | 290 | 280 | 275 | 269 | 263 | 257 | 251 | 245 | 236 |
| 16°F | 312 | 302 | 296 | 290 | 284 | 278 | 272 | 264 | 256 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,740
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,272
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,492
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,163
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,978
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,934
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,033
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,038 | 0 | 6 |
| February | 815 | 0 | 14 |
| March | 617 | 2 | 69 |
| April | 319 | 15 | 203 |
| May | 105 | 86 | 449 |
| June | 9 | 245 | 687 |
| July | 1 | 387 | 851 |
| August | 2 | 358 | 821 |
| September | 50 | 152 | 553 |
| October | 271 | 26 | 257 |
| November | 602 | 2 | 59 |
| December | 913 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.4 km from Wright County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00235227 (Mansfield). Public domain.