Weldon Spring Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Weldon Spring NWS. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 10 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 199 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 22, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 10, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last March 31, first November 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 6 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 |
| 32°F | Apr 26 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 |
| 28°F | Apr 15 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 12 |
| 24°F | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 |
| 20°F | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
| 16°F | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 | Feb 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 8 |
| 28°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 22 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 13 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 196 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 155 |
| 32°F | 220 | 213 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 178 |
| 28°F | 242 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 207 | 199 |
| 24°F | 267 | 259 | 253 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 228 | 221 |
| 20°F | 288 | 278 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 253 | 247 | 240 |
| 16°F | 308 | 300 | 294 | 288 | 283 | 277 | 271 | 264 | 256 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,866
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,312
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,501
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,196
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,025
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,985
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,078
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,077 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 851 | 0 | 14 |
| March | 647 | 4 | 70 |
| April | 312 | 24 | 219 |
| May | 102 | 101 | 466 |
| June | 10 | 264 | 705 |
| July | 0 | 385 | 849 |
| August | 2 | 344 | 807 |
| September | 53 | 155 | 553 |
| October | 281 | 32 | 254 |
| November | 599 | 3 | 71 |
| December | 931 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.7 km from Weldon Spring. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00238805 (Weldon Spring NWS). Public domain.