Waverly Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Waverly. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 6 and the first fall freeze around October 30, a growing season of about 207 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 18, first October 21
- Median at 32°F
- last April 6, first October 30
- Median at 28°F
- last March 28, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 3 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 21 |
| 28°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 11 |
| 24°F | Apr 3 | Mar 29 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 25 | Feb 19 |
| 16°F | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 8 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 13 |
| 28°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 |
| 20°F | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 7 | Dec 11 | Dec 15 | Dec 21 | Dec 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 205 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 178 | 174 | 165 |
| 32°F | 228 | 220 | 214 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 187 |
| 28°F | 249 | 241 | 235 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 217 | 211 | 205 |
| 24°F | 271 | 263 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 241 | 237 | 231 | 222 |
| 20°F | 289 | 280 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 261 | 254 | 249 | 241 |
| 16°F | 307 | 297 | 292 | 286 | 281 | 277 | 272 | 266 | 258 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,075
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,325
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,423
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,136
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,982
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,964
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,079
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,122 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 896 | 0 | 9 |
| March | 658 | 4 | 66 |
| April | 333 | 13 | 195 |
| May | 116 | 102 | 459 |
| June | 5 | 275 | 720 |
| July | 1 | 393 | 857 |
| August | 1 | 342 | 806 |
| September | 53 | 164 | 561 |
| October | 286 | 32 | 253 |
| November | 629 | 2 | 51 |
| December | 976 | 0 | 5 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1 km from Waverly. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00238770 (Waverly). Public domain.