Sullivan County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Green City 5N. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 26 and the first fall freeze around October 14, a growing season of about 169 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 5, first October 3
- Median at 32°F
- last April 26, first October 14
- Median at 28°F
- last April 14, first October 24
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 15 | May 12 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 19 |
| 32°F | May 12 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 |
| 28°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
| 24°F | Apr 20 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 8 |
| 16°F | Apr 2 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 32°F | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 |
| 28°F | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 24°F | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
| 20°F | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 5 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 169 | 162 | 157 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 135 | 129 |
| 32°F | 187 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 156 | 149 |
| 28°F | 210 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 189 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 169 |
| 24°F | 232 | 222 | 217 | 212 | 209 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 190 |
| 20°F | 254 | 244 | 237 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 214 | 206 |
| 16°F | 271 | 263 | 258 | 252 | 248 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 227 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 6,341
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 846
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 5,315
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,162
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,140
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,248
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,479
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,319 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,061 | 0 | 4 |
| March | 812 | 2 | 37 |
| April | 456 | 6 | 124 |
| May | 197 | 48 | 334 |
| June | 22 | 171 | 598 |
| July | 5 | 286 | 745 |
| August | 10 | 230 | 685 |
| September | 110 | 91 | 435 |
| October | 417 | 13 | 155 |
| November | 780 | 0 | 23 |
| December | 1,152 | 0 | 1 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.7 km from Sullivan County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00233416 (Green City 5N). Public domain.