Madison Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Moberly. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 25, a growing season of about 195 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 25, first October 16
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 25
- Median at 28°F
- last April 3, first November 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 8 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
| 24°F | Apr 7 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 23 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 |
| 20°F | Mar 30 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 26 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 30 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 6 |
| 28°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
| 24°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
| 20°F | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 7 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 192 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 160 | 155 |
| 32°F | 214 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 176 |
| 28°F | 235 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 196 |
| 24°F | 255 | 247 | 242 | 237 | 233 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 214 |
| 20°F | 276 | 267 | 261 | 257 | 253 | 248 | 243 | 238 | 230 |
| 16°F | 294 | 285 | 279 | 274 | 269 | 265 | 260 | 255 | 246 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,157
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,253
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,332
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,053
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,905
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,886
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,999
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,147 | 0 | 3 |
| February | 912 | 0 | 10 |
| March | 661 | 3 | 66 |
| April | 333 | 15 | 195 |
| May | 109 | 95 | 455 |
| June | 8 | 256 | 697 |
| July | 1 | 381 | 845 |
| August | 3 | 333 | 795 |
| September | 61 | 144 | 534 |
| October | 295 | 27 | 245 |
| November | 646 | 1 | 52 |
| December | 981 | 0 | 9 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 20.4 km from Madison. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00235671 (Moberly). Public domain.