Lone Jack Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Pleasant Hill WFO. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 8 and the first fall freeze around October 29, a growing season of about 204 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 19, first October 19
- Median at 32°F
- last April 8, first October 29
- Median at 28°F
- last March 29, first November 7
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
| 28°F | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 17 | Mar 9 |
| 24°F | Apr 3 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 |
| 20°F | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 20 |
| 16°F | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 9 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 12 |
| 28°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
| 24°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
| 20°F | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 |
| 16°F | Nov 17 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 3 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 16 | Dec 20 | Dec 27 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 203 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 169 | 161 |
| 32°F | 224 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 182 |
| 28°F | 247 | 239 | 233 | 228 | 225 | 220 | 215 | 210 | 203 |
| 24°F | 267 | 260 | 253 | 248 | 244 | 238 | 233 | 228 | 220 |
| 20°F | 287 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 262 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 237 |
| 16°F | 307 | 298 | 291 | 286 | 280 | 275 | 270 | 263 | 255 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,922
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,387
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,568
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,260
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,088
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,052
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,151
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,089 | 0 | 4 |
| February | 858 | 0 | 13 |
| March | 629 | 3 | 72 |
| April | 324 | 15 | 201 |
| May | 104 | 99 | 463 |
| June | 7 | 282 | 726 |
| July | 1 | 417 | 882 |
| August | 1 | 372 | 835 |
| September | 48 | 167 | 569 |
| October | 279 | 31 | 257 |
| November | 619 | 1 | 57 |
| December | 962 | 0 | 8 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 10.4 km from Lone Jack. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00236745 (Pleasant Hill WFO). Public domain.