Gower Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Smithville Lake. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 18 and the first fall freeze around October 20, a growing season of about 183 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 28, first October 10
- Median at 32°F
- last April 18, first October 20
- Median at 28°F
- last April 7, first October 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 13 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 |
| 32°F | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 |
| 28°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 |
| 24°F | Apr 14 | Apr 8 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 |
| 20°F | Apr 3 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 |
| 16°F | Mar 24 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 |
| 32°F | Oct 5 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 |
| 28°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 24°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 23 |
| 20°F | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 16°F | Nov 7 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 23 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 15 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 183 | 177 | 172 | 167 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 143 |
| 32°F | 202 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 180 | 175 | 170 | 163 |
| 28°F | 225 | 217 | 212 | 208 | 204 | 200 | 195 | 190 | 182 |
| 24°F | 248 | 239 | 232 | 228 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 209 | 200 |
| 20°F | 269 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 234 | 228 | 221 |
| 16°F | 288 | 281 | 275 | 269 | 264 | 258 | 253 | 247 | 238 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,532
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,194
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,028
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 4,800
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 3,705
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 2,739
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,900
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,200 | 0 | 1 |
| February | 947 | 0 | 6 |
| March | 717 | 3 | 51 |
| April | 389 | 11 | 160 |
| May | 143 | 78 | 408 |
| June | 13 | 244 | 681 |
| July | 1 | 375 | 838 |
| August | 4 | 329 | 790 |
| September | 74 | 134 | 512 |
| October | 336 | 20 | 213 |
| November | 682 | 1 | 42 |
| December | 1,028 | 0 | 3 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 24.9 km from Gower. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00237862 (Smithville Lake). Public domain.