Dearborn Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Kansas City Intl AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 13 and the first fall freeze around October 24, a growing season of about 193 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 24, first October 14
- Median at 32°F
- last April 13, first October 24
- Median at 28°F
- last April 1, first November 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 9 |
| 32°F | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
| 28°F | Apr 18 | Apr 12 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 24°F | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 |
| 20°F | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 19 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 16°F | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 22 | Feb 15 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 32°F | Oct 9 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 |
| 28°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
| 24°F | Oct 29 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 29 |
| 20°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 16°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 191 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 164 | 158 | 150 |
| 32°F | 212 | 206 | 200 | 197 | 193 | 189 | 185 | 178 | 171 |
| 28°F | 234 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 213 | 208 | 204 | 199 | 192 |
| 24°F | 257 | 249 | 243 | 238 | 232 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 212 |
| 20°F | 274 | 267 | 261 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 242 | 236 | 228 |
| 16°F | 295 | 287 | 280 | 275 | 270 | 264 | 261 | 255 | 247 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 5,071
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,363
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,467
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,180
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,025
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,004
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,116
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,117 | 0 | 2 |
| February | 879 | 0 | 11 |
| March | 639 | 4 | 73 |
| April | 331 | 19 | 200 |
| May | 109 | 98 | 457 |
| June | 7 | 280 | 723 |
| July | 0 | 409 | 874 |
| August | 2 | 364 | 828 |
| September | 58 | 158 | 552 |
| October | 295 | 29 | 245 |
| November | 645 | 2 | 54 |
| December | 989 | 0 | 6 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 25.2 km from Dearborn. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00003947 (Kansas City Intl AP). Public domain.