Cole County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jefferson City Wtp. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 8 and the first fall freeze around October 31, a growing season of about 205 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 21, first October 21
- Median at 32°F
- last April 8, first October 31
- Median at 28°F
- last March 28, first November 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 4 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 4 |
| 32°F | Apr 23 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 29 | Mar 23 |
| 28°F | Apr 13 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 9 |
| 24°F | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 17 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 |
| 16°F | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 14 | Feb 5 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 7 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 28°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 25 |
| 24°F | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 |
| 20°F | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Nov 30 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 19 |
| 16°F | Nov 21 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 12 | Dec 16 | Dec 20 | Dec 24 | Dec 30 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 202 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 169 | 163 |
| 32°F | 225 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 186 |
| 28°F | 248 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 211 | 204 |
| 24°F | 272 | 263 | 257 | 252 | 246 | 241 | 238 | 232 | 225 |
| 20°F | 293 | 284 | 276 | 271 | 266 | 261 | 256 | 250 | 243 |
| 16°F | 312 | 303 | 297 | 292 | 286 | 281 | 275 | 269 | 260 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,847
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,394
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,596
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,281
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,107
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,070
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,163
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,076 | 0 | 5 |
| February | 843 | 0 | 14 |
| March | 636 | 4 | 72 |
| April | 316 | 22 | 212 |
| May | 105 | 102 | 465 |
| June | 8 | 281 | 723 |
| July | 0 | 413 | 877 |
| August | 1 | 370 | 834 |
| September | 49 | 169 | 571 |
| October | 275 | 31 | 260 |
| November | 604 | 3 | 64 |
| December | 935 | 0 | 11 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.4 km from Cole County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00234271 (Jefferson City Wtp). Public domain.