Carter County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Clearwater Dam. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 9 and the first fall freeze around October 26, a growing season of about 199 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 21, first October 17
- Median at 32°F
- last April 9, first October 26
- Median at 28°F
- last March 28, first November 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 |
| 32°F | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 |
| 28°F | Apr 13 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 |
| 24°F | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 12 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 |
| 20°F | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 4 | Mar 1 | Feb 26 | Feb 21 | Feb 13 |
| 16°F | Mar 14 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 19 | Feb 13 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 17 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 |
| 32°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 7 |
| 28°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 21 |
| 24°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 4 |
| 20°F | Nov 8 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 21 |
| 16°F | Nov 18 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 18 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 197 | 190 | 186 | 181 | 178 | 174 | 170 | 164 | 158 |
| 32°F | 221 | 213 | 208 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 179 |
| 28°F | 245 | 237 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 217 | 213 | 207 | 199 |
| 24°F | 269 | 260 | 254 | 249 | 244 | 239 | 233 | 228 | 220 |
| 20°F | 294 | 284 | 278 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 256 | 250 | 242 |
| 16°F | 320 | 309 | 302 | 297 | 291 | 286 | 278 | 271 | 260 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 4,452
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,392
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 6,757
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 5,394
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,179
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,107
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,178
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 987 | 0 | 8 |
| February | 765 | 0 | 17 |
| March | 575 | 3 | 81 |
| April | 272 | 24 | 243 |
| May | 85 | 108 | 490 |
| June | 5 | 284 | 729 |
| July | 0 | 420 | 885 |
| August | 2 | 367 | 831 |
| September | 44 | 155 | 562 |
| October | 262 | 28 | 259 |
| November | 573 | 2 | 64 |
| December | 882 | 0 | 12 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 26.9 km from Carter County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00231674 (Clearwater Dam). Public domain.