Cardwell Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Paragould 1S. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 26 and the first fall freeze around November 6, a growing season of about 227 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 5, first October 27
- Median at 32°F
- last March 26, first November 6
- Median at 28°F
- last March 13, first November 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 20 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
| 32°F | Apr 10 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 9 |
| 28°F | Mar 31 | Mar 24 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 25 |
| 24°F | Mar 18 | Mar 13 | Mar 9 | Mar 5 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 19 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Mar 10 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 25 | Feb 21 | Feb 15 | Feb 9 | Feb 3 | Jan 26 |
| 16°F | Mar 2 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 32°F | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 |
| 28°F | Nov 2 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
| 24°F | Nov 10 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 | Nov 25 | Nov 29 | Dec 2 | Dec 7 | Dec 13 | Dec 21 |
| 20°F | Nov 22 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 | Dec 9 | Dec 16 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 9 |
| 16°F | Dec 7 | Dec 16 | Dec 23 | Dec 28 | Jan 1 | Jan 5 | Jan 10 | Jan 16 | Jan 28 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 224 | 218 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 202 | 198 | 193 | 188 |
| 32°F | 249 | 241 | 235 | 231 | 227 | 222 | 218 | 212 | 205 |
| 28°F | 272 | 264 | 259 | 254 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 234 | 227 |
| 24°F | 298 | 289 | 283 | 277 | 272 | 267 | 262 | 255 | 248 |
| 20°F | 326 | 317 | 309 | 303 | 298 | 293 | 286 | 278 | 267 |
| 16°F | 355 | 343 | 335 | 330 | 323 | 317 | 310 | 303 | 294 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 94% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,710
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,795
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,655
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,193
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,879
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,710
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,680
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 869 | 0 | 15 |
| February | 675 | 0 | 29 |
| March | 482 | 5 | 116 |
| April | 195 | 37 | 311 |
| May | 43 | 170 | 593 |
| June | 1 | 378 | 826 |
| July | 0 | 477 | 942 |
| August | 0 | 434 | 899 |
| September | 17 | 236 | 669 |
| October | 174 | 54 | 357 |
| November | 484 | 4 | 99 |
| December | 769 | 0 | 24 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 18.5 km from Cardwell. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00035563 (Paragould 1S). Public domain.