Mooreville Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Fulton 3 W. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 1 and the first fall freeze around October 31, a growing season of about 212 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last April 11, first October 22
- Median at 32°F
- last April 1, first October 31
- Median at 28°F
- last March 21, first November 9
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 28 |
| 32°F | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 25 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 |
| 28°F | Apr 6 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 16 | Mar 12 | Mar 7 | Mar 1 |
| 24°F | Mar 25 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 15 |
| 20°F | Mar 15 | Mar 7 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 26 |
| 16°F | Mar 5 | Feb 24 | Feb 17 | Feb 11 | Feb 4 | Jan 31 | Jan 24 | Jan 18 | Jan 8 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 3 |
| 32°F | Oct 17 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
| 28°F | Oct 25 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 27 |
| 24°F | Nov 4 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 27 | Dec 1 | Dec 5 | Dec 14 |
| 20°F | Nov 14 | Nov 21 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 11 | Dec 21 | Dec 31 | Jan 8 |
| 16°F | Nov 28 | Dec 6 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 30 | Jan 3 | Jan 8 | Jan 15 | Jan 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 212 | 206 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 172 |
| 32°F | 235 | 226 | 221 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 190 |
| 28°F | 260 | 252 | 245 | 240 | 234 | 229 | 224 | 219 | 210 |
| 24°F | 289 | 279 | 272 | 266 | 261 | 255 | 249 | 244 | 234 |
| 20°F | 323 | 311 | 303 | 296 | 289 | 283 | 276 | 268 | 259 |
| 16°F | 354 | 342 | 334 | 326 | 319 | 311 | 304 | 295 | 285 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 93% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 3,276
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 1,713
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 7,858
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 6,330
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 4,950
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 3,715
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 2,635
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 763 | 0 | 33 |
| February | 582 | 1 | 50 |
| March | 409 | 9 | 159 |
| April | 175 | 46 | 336 |
| May | 40 | 157 | 583 |
| June | 1 | 331 | 780 |
| July | 0 | 442 | 907 |
| August | 0 | 420 | 885 |
| September | 13 | 241 | 678 |
| October | 169 | 57 | 368 |
| November | 446 | 5 | 121 |
| December | 677 | 2 | 52 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 11.1 km from Mooreville. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00223208 (Fulton 3 W). Public domain.