Lyman Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Gulfport Naval Ctr. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around February 18 and the first fall freeze around December 14, a growing season of about 300 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 5, first November 26
- Median at 32°F
- last February 18, first December 14
- Median at 28°F
- last January 31, first January 2
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Mar 26 | Mar 19 | Mar 14 | Mar 10 | Mar 5 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 18 | Feb 7 |
| 32°F | Mar 14 | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 11 | Feb 5 | Jan 30 | Jan 17 |
| 28°F | Mar 2 | Feb 23 | Feb 13 | Feb 5 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 18 | Jan 10 | Dec 31 |
| 24°F | Feb 25 | Feb 10 | Feb 2 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 17 | Jan 11 | Jan 5 | Dec 30 |
| 20°F | Feb 6 | Feb 1 | Jan 26 | Jan 19 | Jan 14 | Jan 10 | Jan 7 | Jan 2 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Nov 6 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 | Nov 26 | Dec 1 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 22 |
| 32°F | Nov 18 | Nov 27 | Dec 2 | Dec 8 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 4 | Jan 13 |
| 28°F | Dec 3 | Dec 14 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 13 | Jan 21 | Feb 4 |
| 24°F | Dec 20 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 6 | Jan 11 | Jan 15 | Jan 21 | Jan 30 | Feb 10 |
| 20°F | Dec 25 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 8 | Jan 11 | Jan 15 | Jan 21 | Jan 31 | Feb 5 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 298 | 287 | 279 | 273 | 267 | 260 | 255 | 248 | 238 |
| 32°F | 338 | 325 | 315 | 307 | 300 | 293 | 286 | 275 | 263 |
| 28°F | 365 | 362 | 351 | 343 | 335 | 330 | 322 | 310 | 298 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 362 | 351 | 339 | 327 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 357 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 99% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 84% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 46% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 14% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 1% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,430
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,694
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 10,403
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 8,624
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,918
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 5,334
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,921
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 397 | 3 | 147 |
| February | 274 | 8 | 185 |
| March | 155 | 40 | 358 |
| April | 45 | 131 | 536 |
| May | 2 | 314 | 777 |
| June | 0 | 453 | 903 |
| July | 0 | 547 | 1,012 |
| August | 0 | 541 | 1,006 |
| September | 0 | 414 | 864 |
| October | 36 | 193 | 623 |
| November | 185 | 40 | 320 |
| December | 336 | 10 | 188 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.1 km from Lyman. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00223671 (Gulfport Naval Ctr). Public domain.