Hollandale Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Stoneville Exp Stn. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 11 and the first fall freeze around November 16, a growing season of about 250 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 24, first November 5
- Median at 32°F
- last March 11, first November 16
- Median at 28°F
- last February 27, first December 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 10 | Apr 4 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 | Mar 4 |
| 32°F | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 18 | Mar 14 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
| 28°F | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 2 | Feb 27 | Feb 22 | Feb 17 | Feb 10 | Feb 1 |
| 24°F | Mar 6 | Feb 28 | Feb 18 | Feb 12 | Feb 6 | Jan 31 | Jan 28 | Jan 21 | Jan 9 |
| 20°F | Feb 25 | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 27 | Jan 21 | Jan 15 | Jan 9 | Dec 31 |
| 16°F | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 20 | Jan 15 | Jan 10 | Jan 4 | Dec 29 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
| 32°F | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 25 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 |
| 28°F | Nov 9 | Nov 15 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 | Dec 1 | Dec 6 | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Jan 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 27 | Dec 4 | Dec 13 | Dec 22 | Dec 27 | Jan 1 | Jan 4 | Jan 11 | Jan 21 |
| 20°F | Dec 11 | Dec 25 | Dec 30 | Jan 2 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 18 | Jan 26 | Feb 2 |
| 16°F | Dec 23 | Jan 1 | Jan 3 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 17 | Jan 21 | Jan 28 | Feb 4 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 249 | 241 | 235 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 217 | 211 | 204 |
| 32°F | 277 | 268 | 262 | 255 | 250 | 245 | 240 | 233 | 226 |
| 28°F | 315 | 301 | 293 | 287 | 280 | 272 | 266 | 259 | 249 |
| 24°F | 352 | 339 | 332 | 324 | 317 | 308 | 300 | 292 | 279 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 363 | 354 | 345 | 337 | 333 | 325 | 311 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 354 | 343 | 332 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 74% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 37% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,639
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,398
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,050
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,434
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 5,955
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,622
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,435
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 669 | 2 | 51 |
| February | 494 | 3 | 79 |
| March | 319 | 22 | 224 |
| April | 108 | 96 | 444 |
| May | 12 | 277 | 730 |
| June | 0 | 453 | 903 |
| July | 0 | 539 | 1,004 |
| August | 0 | 518 | 983 |
| September | 6 | 348 | 792 |
| October | 103 | 118 | 486 |
| November | 342 | 18 | 187 |
| December | 586 | 5 | 75 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 29.6 km from Hollandale. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00228445 (Stoneville Exp Stn). Public domain.