Hancock County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Bay St Louis Nasa. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 6 and the first fall freeze around November 19, a growing season of about 262 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 22, first November 7
- Median at 32°F
- last March 6, first November 19
- Median at 28°F
- last February 16, first December 4
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 12 | Mar 6 | Feb 27 |
| 32°F | Mar 27 | Mar 20 | Mar 16 | Mar 10 | Mar 6 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 18 | Feb 5 |
| 28°F | Mar 16 | Mar 8 | Mar 1 | Feb 24 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 | Jan 25 | Jan 12 |
| 24°F | Mar 5 | Feb 26 | Feb 12 | Feb 3 | Jan 30 | Jan 22 | Jan 13 | Jan 4 | Dec 25 |
| 20°F | Feb 26 | Feb 9 | Feb 1 | Jan 28 | Jan 22 | Jan 12 | Jan 5 | Dec 29 | Dec 13 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 19 | Nov 27 |
| 32°F | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 13 |
| 28°F | Nov 9 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 10 | Dec 23 | Jan 3 | Jan 16 |
| 24°F | Nov 23 | Dec 2 | Dec 10 | Dec 21 | Dec 31 | Jan 5 | Jan 13 | Jan 25 | Feb 6 |
| 20°F | Dec 5 | Dec 17 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 8 | Jan 16 | Jan 25 | Feb 1 | Feb 10 |
| 16°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 264 | 254 | 246 | 240 | 235 | 229 | 223 | 216 | 206 |
| 32°F | 299 | 285 | 276 | 269 | 262 | 254 | 247 | 240 | 231 |
| 28°F | 337 | 324 | 312 | 303 | 296 | 288 | 280 | 270 | 256 |
| 24°F | 365 | 365 | 354 | 342 | 334 | 325 | 314 | 303 | 289 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 353 | 337 | 322 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 98% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 81% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 37% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 6% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 1,911
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,140
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,395
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,657
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,027
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,555
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,255
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 477 | 3 | 108 |
| February | 344 | 9 | 141 |
| March | 228 | 26 | 285 |
| April | 93 | 75 | 434 |
| May | 11 | 222 | 676 |
| June | 0 | 387 | 837 |
| July | 0 | 468 | 933 |
| August | 0 | 462 | 927 |
| September | 1 | 328 | 777 |
| October | 63 | 128 | 532 |
| November | 261 | 24 | 244 |
| December | 433 | 9 | 134 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.1 km from Hancock County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00220521 (Bay St Louis Nasa). Public domain.