Bude Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Meadville. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around March 15 and the first fall freeze around November 12, a growing season of about 243 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last March 31, first November 3
- Median at 32°F
- last March 15, first November 12
- Median at 28°F
- last February 28, first November 29
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Apr 17 | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 22 | Mar 16 | Mar 7 |
| 32°F | Apr 7 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 20 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 | Mar 3 | Feb 28 | Feb 20 |
| 28°F | Mar 26 | Mar 15 | Mar 8 | Mar 4 | Feb 28 | Feb 23 | Feb 16 | Feb 8 | Jan 31 |
| 24°F | Mar 13 | Mar 4 | Feb 25 | Feb 15 | Feb 7 | Feb 2 | Jan 29 | Jan 20 | Jan 3 |
| 20°F | Mar 2 | Feb 16 | Feb 5 | Feb 1 | Jan 27 | Jan 20 | Jan 12 | Jan 2 | Dec 26 |
| 16°F | Feb 11 | Feb 3 | Jan 29 | Jan 22 | Jan 15 | Jan 9 | Jan 1 | Dec 29 | Dec 17 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Oct 21 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 | Nov 21 |
| 32°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 | Nov 23 | Nov 30 | Dec 6 |
| 28°F | Nov 5 | Nov 11 | Nov 17 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 | Dec 3 | Dec 8 | Dec 18 | Jan 1 |
| 24°F | Nov 19 | Nov 30 | Dec 4 | Dec 12 | Dec 22 | Dec 29 | Jan 2 | Jan 9 | Jan 20 |
| 20°F | Dec 7 | Dec 17 | Dec 26 | Dec 31 | Jan 3 | Jan 9 | Jan 15 | Jan 26 | Feb 6 |
| 16°F | Dec 10 | Dec 23 | Dec 29 | Jan 1 | Jan 7 | Jan 12 | Jan 19 | Jan 28 | Feb 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 248 | 238 | 231 | 225 | 218 | 213 | 208 | 202 | 194 |
| 32°F | 275 | 265 | 256 | 250 | 243 | 237 | 230 | 222 | 212 |
| 28°F | 310 | 298 | 289 | 281 | 274 | 268 | 259 | 250 | 238 |
| 24°F | 357 | 338 | 330 | 321 | 312 | 304 | 295 | 286 | 270 |
| 20°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 358 | 346 | 337 | 331 | 320 | 305 |
| 16°F | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 365 | 353 | 337 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 96% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 70% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 31% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 2,094
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 2,344
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 9,448
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 7,746
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 6,168
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 4,737
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 3,456
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 539 | 3 | 90 |
| February | 382 | 9 | 133 |
| March | 220 | 39 | 308 |
| April | 90 | 96 | 458 |
| May | 14 | 257 | 708 |
| June | 0 | 428 | 877 |
| July | 0 | 511 | 976 |
| August | 0 | 501 | 965 |
| September | 4 | 331 | 777 |
| October | 73 | 138 | 534 |
| November | 298 | 23 | 222 |
| December | 475 | 8 | 120 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 3.4 km from Bude. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00225704 (Meadville). Public domain.