Wilkin County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Rothsay. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 149 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 15, first September 25
- Median at 32°F
- last May 5, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last April 28, first October 12
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 30 | May 25 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 |
| 32°F | May 20 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 28°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 5 |
| 20°F | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 16°F | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 12 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 28°F | Sep 28 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 |
| 24°F | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 20°F | Oct 14 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 24 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 149 | 143 | 138 | 134 | 131 | 128 | 124 | 119 | 113 |
| 32°F | 166 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 149 | 145 | 142 | 137 | 131 |
| 28°F | 187 | 180 | 174 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 153 | 148 |
| 24°F | 206 | 200 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 164 |
| 20°F | 222 | 215 | 210 | 206 | 203 | 199 | 195 | 189 | 182 |
| 16°F | 238 | 230 | 225 | 220 | 217 | 213 | 209 | 205 | 198 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,937
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 478
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,103
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,153
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,308
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,571
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 954
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,747 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,462 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,186 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 691 | 1 | 36 |
| May | 302 | 24 | 235 |
| June | 67 | 100 | 484 |
| July | 20 | 175 | 620 |
| August | 33 | 134 | 566 |
| September | 206 | 42 | 304 |
| October | 627 | 2 | 59 |
| November | 1,067 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,531 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 19.6 km from Wilkin County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00217149 (Rothsay). Public domain.