Stephen Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Argyle. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 15 and the first fall freeze around September 26, a growing season of about 134 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 24, first September 16
- Median at 32°F
- last May 15, first September 26
- Median at 28°F
- last May 4, first October 6
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 5 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 |
| 32°F | May 28 | May 24 | May 21 | May 17 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 |
| 28°F | May 21 | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 20 |
| 24°F | May 10 | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 7 |
| 20°F | Apr 30 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 |
| 16°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 23 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 1 | Sep 7 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 |
| 32°F | Sep 13 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 8 |
| 28°F | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 |
| 20°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 16°F | Oct 19 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 132 | 126 | 121 | 117 | 114 | 110 | 106 | 101 | 94 |
| 32°F | 153 | 146 | 142 | 138 | 134 | 131 | 126 | 121 | 114 |
| 28°F | 174 | 167 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 150 | 145 | 141 | 134 |
| 24°F | 194 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 173 | 169 | 165 | 159 | 152 |
| 20°F | 215 | 208 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 184 | 179 | 171 |
| 16°F | 229 | 223 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 197 | 189 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,613
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 375
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,766
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,860
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,057
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,364
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 796
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,846 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,553 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,274 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 737 | 0 | 27 |
| May | 360 | 16 | 187 |
| June | 95 | 77 | 434 |
| July | 32 | 139 | 572 |
| August | 52 | 111 | 524 |
| September | 241 | 30 | 264 |
| October | 669 | 2 | 48 |
| November | 1,143 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,612 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.7 km from Stephen. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00210252 (Argyle). Public domain.