Silver Bay Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Wolf Ridge Elc. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 15 and the first fall freeze around October 1, a growing season of about 137 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 30, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 15, first October 1
- Median at 28°F
- last May 2, first October 10
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 11 | Jun 6 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 23 | May 19 | May 14 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | Apr 30 |
| 28°F | May 20 | May 13 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 19 |
| 24°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 20°F | Apr 28 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 16°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 |
| 32°F | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 14 |
| 28°F | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 |
| 24°F | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 20°F | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 17 |
| 16°F | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 16 | Nov 20 | Nov 26 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 134 | 127 | 122 | 117 | 114 | 109 | 105 | 100 | 93 |
| 32°F | 157 | 150 | 145 | 141 | 137 | 133 | 128 | 123 | 116 |
| 28°F | 182 | 175 | 170 | 165 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 146 | 139 |
| 24°F | 204 | 197 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 174 | 169 | 161 |
| 20°F | 223 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 198 | 194 | 189 | 183 |
| 16°F | 236 | 230 | 225 | 221 | 218 | 214 | 211 | 207 | 200 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,634
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 175
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,147
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,282
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,543
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 935
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 469
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,702 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,436 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,240 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 836 | 0 | 10 |
| May | 480 | 4 | 99 |
| June | 187 | 25 | 297 |
| July | 72 | 81 | 474 |
| August | 88 | 54 | 431 |
| September | 297 | 12 | 199 |
| October | 694 | 0 | 31 |
| November | 1,100 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,503 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.6 km from Silver Bay. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00219134 (Wolf Ridge Elc). Public domain.