Roseau Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Warroad. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 16 and the first fall freeze around September 24, a growing season of about 129 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 27, first September 14
- Median at 32°F
- last May 16, first September 24
- Median at 28°F
- last May 7, first October 3
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 8 | Jun 3 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 27 | May 24 | May 21 | May 19 | May 15 |
| 32°F | May 30 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 16 | May 14 | May 11 | May 8 | May 5 |
| 28°F | May 22 | May 16 | May 12 | May 9 | May 7 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 |
| 24°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 |
| 20°F | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 16°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 31 | Sep 4 | Sep 8 | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 |
| 32°F | Sep 11 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 6 |
| 28°F | Sep 19 | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 24°F | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 |
| 20°F | Oct 9 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 16°F | Oct 20 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 9 | Nov 13 | Nov 17 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 126 | 120 | 115 | 111 | 108 | 104 | 99 | 94 | 85 |
| 32°F | 147 | 141 | 136 | 132 | 129 | 125 | 121 | 116 | 109 |
| 28°F | 166 | 160 | 156 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 128 |
| 24°F | 186 | 179 | 175 | 170 | 166 | 162 | 157 | 152 | 146 |
| 20°F | 206 | 200 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 183 | 179 | 173 | 164 |
| 16°F | 223 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 204 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 186 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 10,503
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 204
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,192
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,353
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,621
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,004
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 522
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,934 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,622 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,363 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 866 | 0 | 13 |
| May | 446 | 7 | 130 |
| June | 151 | 41 | 346 |
| July | 62 | 85 | 488 |
| August | 98 | 59 | 427 |
| September | 321 | 12 | 188 |
| October | 749 | 0 | 28 |
| November | 1,197 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,696 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 32.1 km from Roseau. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00218679 (Warroad). Public domain.