Minneapolis Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Lower St Anthony Falls. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 23 and the first fall freeze around October 16, a growing season of about 175 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 4, first October 5
- Median at 32°F
- last April 23, first October 16
- Median at 28°F
- last April 14, first October 27
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 21 | May 14 | May 10 | May 6 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 20 |
| 32°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 10 |
| 28°F | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 24°F | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
| 20°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 27 | Mar 23 | Mar 19 | Mar 13 |
| 16°F | Apr 5 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 19 | Mar 15 | Mar 11 | Mar 7 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 23 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
| 32°F | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 |
| 28°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 |
| 24°F | Oct 21 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 20 |
| 20°F | Oct 30 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 | Nov 28 |
| 16°F | Nov 6 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 18 | Nov 22 | Nov 24 | Nov 27 | Nov 30 | Dec 5 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 172 | 167 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 142 | 134 |
| 32°F | 192 | 187 | 182 | 178 | 175 | 171 | 167 | 162 | 155 |
| 28°F | 214 | 207 | 202 | 198 | 195 | 191 | 187 | 181 | 175 |
| 24°F | 232 | 225 | 220 | 216 | 212 | 207 | 203 | 197 | 191 |
| 20°F | 250 | 243 | 236 | 232 | 227 | 223 | 218 | 213 | 205 |
| 16°F | 265 | 257 | 252 | 247 | 243 | 238 | 234 | 227 | 219 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,699
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 734
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,743
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,720
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,799
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,991
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,298
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,553 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,277 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,023 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 584 | 2 | 68 |
| May | 228 | 39 | 296 |
| June | 41 | 147 | 556 |
| July | 5 | 271 | 731 |
| August | 13 | 199 | 651 |
| September | 138 | 70 | 389 |
| October | 524 | 5 | 94 |
| November | 950 | 0 | 5 |
| December | 1,364 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.4 km from Minneapolis. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00214884 (Lower St Anthony Falls). Public domain.