Marshall Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Marshall. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 5 and the first fall freeze around October 3, a growing season of about 150 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 13, first September 25
- Median at 32°F
- last May 5, first October 3
- Median at 28°F
- last April 27, first October 13
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 28 | May 23 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 1 |
| 32°F | May 18 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 21 |
| 28°F | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 21 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 |
| 24°F | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 20°F | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 24 |
| 16°F | Apr 16 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 21 | Mar 15 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 12 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 17 |
| 28°F | Sep 30 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 10 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 |
| 24°F | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 25 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 20°F | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 5 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 10 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 152 | 147 | 143 | 139 | 135 | 132 | 128 | 123 | 117 |
| 32°F | 168 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 150 | 148 | 144 | 139 | 133 |
| 28°F | 189 | 182 | 176 | 172 | 168 | 165 | 161 | 156 | 150 |
| 24°F | 207 | 202 | 197 | 191 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 175 | 168 |
| 20°F | 226 | 219 | 213 | 210 | 205 | 202 | 197 | 191 | 185 |
| 16°F | 242 | 233 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 216 | 213 | 208 | 200 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,950
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 722
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,685
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,669
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,760
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,961
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,278
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,579 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,309 | 0 | 1 |
| March | 1,074 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 617 | 2 | 63 |
| May | 255 | 41 | 283 |
| June | 42 | 159 | 567 |
| July | 9 | 252 | 708 |
| August | 20 | 187 | 632 |
| September | 151 | 73 | 382 |
| October | 531 | 7 | 104 |
| November | 963 | 0 | 12 |
| December | 1,400 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2.8 km from Marshall. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00215204 (Marshall). Public domain.