Marble Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Grand Rpds Forest Lab. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 17 and the first fall freeze around September 24, a growing season of about 130 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 29, first September 15
- Median at 32°F
- last May 17, first September 24
- Median at 28°F
- last May 6, first October 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 13 | Jun 7 | Jun 3 | May 31 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 16 |
| 32°F | May 31 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 3 |
| 28°F | May 19 | May 15 | May 12 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 |
| 24°F | May 11 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 |
| 20°F | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
| 16°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 | Mar 24 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 30 | Sep 4 | Sep 9 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 |
| 32°F | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 |
| 28°F | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 20 |
| 24°F | Oct 1 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 3 |
| 20°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 17 | Nov 22 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 125 | 119 | 114 | 111 | 107 | 103 | 99 | 94 | 86 |
| 32°F | 149 | 143 | 138 | 133 | 130 | 126 | 121 | 117 | 110 |
| 28°F | 170 | 164 | 160 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 143 | 138 | 132 |
| 24°F | 194 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 164 | 159 | 152 |
| 20°F | 216 | 210 | 205 | 200 | 197 | 193 | 188 | 183 | 175 |
| 16°F | 233 | 226 | 221 | 217 | 212 | 210 | 206 | 202 | 196 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,319
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 288
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,566
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,658
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,866
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,200
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 665
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,745 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,431 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,175 | 0 | 2 |
| April | 741 | 0 | 23 |
| May | 380 | 12 | 163 |
| June | 118 | 54 | 388 |
| July | 41 | 120 | 544 |
| August | 68 | 83 | 481 |
| September | 277 | 19 | 224 |
| October | 681 | 0 | 40 |
| November | 1,107 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,556 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.3 km from Marble. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00213303 (Grand Rpds Forest Lab). Public domain.