Mahnomen Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Mahnomen. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 7 and the first fall freeze around September 28, a growing season of about 143 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first September 19
- Median at 32°F
- last May 7, first September 28
- Median at 28°F
- last April 29, first October 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 26 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 24 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 |
| 28°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 | Apr 15 |
| 24°F | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 6 |
| 20°F | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
| 16°F | Apr 16 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 22 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 3 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 13 |
| 28°F | Sep 23 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 25 |
| 24°F | Oct 3 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 |
| 20°F | Oct 14 | Oct 21 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 14 |
| 16°F | Oct 25 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 15 | Nov 19 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 140 | 133 | 129 | 125 | 121 | 117 | 113 | 107 | 98 |
| 32°F | 161 | 154 | 150 | 146 | 143 | 139 | 133 | 129 | 122 |
| 28°F | 182 | 176 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 142 |
| 24°F | 204 | 198 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 180 | 176 | 171 | 162 |
| 20°F | 222 | 216 | 211 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 182 |
| 16°F | 236 | 229 | 224 | 220 | 217 | 213 | 210 | 204 | 198 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,470
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 362
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,768
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,854
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,046
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,353
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 782
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,818 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,501 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,246 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 724 | 0 | 24 |
| May | 341 | 20 | 208 |
| June | 105 | 70 | 417 |
| July | 34 | 128 | 559 |
| August | 58 | 106 | 513 |
| September | 248 | 35 | 261 |
| October | 656 | 4 | 59 |
| November | 1,146 | 0 | 2 |
| December | 1,595 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 0.2 km from Mahnomen. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00215012 (Mahnomen). Public domain.