Littlefork Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Littlefork 10 Sw. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 23 and the first fall freeze around September 21, a growing season of about 118 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 4, first September 10
- Median at 32°F
- last May 23, first September 21
- Median at 28°F
- last May 10, first October 1
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 26 | Jun 18 | Jun 11 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 26 | May 22 |
| 32°F | Jun 5 | May 31 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 21 | May 17 | May 14 | May 9 |
| 28°F | May 25 | May 20 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 24°F | May 14 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 20°F | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 |
| 16°F | Apr 25 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 25 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 24 |
| 32°F | Sep 4 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 21 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 28°F | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 |
| 24°F | Sep 27 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 27 |
| 20°F | Oct 10 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 9 |
| 16°F | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 13 | Nov 18 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 117 | 110 | 104 | 100 | 96 | 91 | 85 | 78 | 67 |
| 32°F | 140 | 132 | 127 | 122 | 118 | 114 | 110 | 104 | 97 |
| 28°F | 161 | 155 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 138 | 133 | 127 | 119 |
| 24°F | 185 | 178 | 172 | 167 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 149 | 141 |
| 20°F | 208 | 202 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 184 | 179 | 174 | 167 |
| 16°F | 224 | 218 | 212 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 198 | 193 | 186 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 10,105
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 221
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,281
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,413
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,660
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,032
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 543
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,894 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,569 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,285 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 795 | 0 | 18 |
| May | 420 | 8 | 139 |
| June | 148 | 46 | 354 |
| July | 66 | 90 | 490 |
| August | 93 | 62 | 435 |
| September | 317 | 14 | 192 |
| October | 723 | 0 | 30 |
| November | 1,151 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,644 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 12.7 km from Littlefork. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00214809 (Littlefork 10 Sw). Public domain.