Keewatin Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Hibbing Chisholm Hibbing AP. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around June 5 and the first fall freeze around September 8, a growing season of about 93 days.
- Median at 32°F
- last June 5, first September 8
- Median at 28°F
- last May 23, first September 21
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Jun 25 | Jun 17 | Jun 12 | Jun 8 | Jun 5 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 27 | May 22 |
| 28°F | Jun 7 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 23 | May 20 | May 16 | May 12 | May 6 |
| 24°F | May 24 | May 19 | May 15 | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 |
| 20°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 12 |
| 16°F | Apr 30 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – |
| 32°F | Aug 23 | Aug 29 | Sep 2 | Sep 5 | Sep 8 | Sep 12 | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 23 |
| 28°F | Sep 4 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 |
| 24°F | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 25 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 11 | Oct 17 |
| 20°F | Sep 28 | Oct 3 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Nov 1 |
| 16°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 22 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 12 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 87 | 79 | 72 | 67 | 61 | 56 | 49 | 44 | 36 |
| 32°F | 115 | 108 | 102 | 97 | 93 | 89 | 84 | 77 | 67 |
| 28°F | 142 | 134 | 130 | 124 | 120 | 115 | 111 | 105 | 97 |
| 24°F | 165 | 158 | 154 | 149 | 144 | 140 | 135 | 130 | 121 |
| 20°F | 192 | 185 | 179 | 174 | 169 | 164 | 159 | 154 | 147 |
| 16°F | 215 | 209 | 204 | 199 | 195 | 191 | 186 | 181 | 172 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 10,336
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 120
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 2,875
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,042
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,336
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 766
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 357
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,821 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,525 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,277 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 836 | 0 | 10 |
| May | 483 | 4 | 97 |
| June | 202 | 21 | 276 |
| July | 98 | 51 | 419 |
| August | 141 | 36 | 361 |
| September | 369 | 9 | 152 |
| October | 767 | 0 | 20 |
| November | 1,182 | 0 | 1 |
| December | 1,635 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 17.6 km from Keewatin. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USW00094931 (Hibbing Chisholm Hibbing AP). Public domain.