Jordan Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Jordan 1SSW. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 2 and the first fall freeze around October 5, a growing season of about 153 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 11, first September 27
- Median at 32°F
- last May 2, first October 5
- Median at 28°F
- last April 22, first October 16
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 25 | May 21 | May 18 | May 14 | May 11 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 29 |
| 32°F | May 18 | May 12 | May 9 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 28°F | May 7 | May 2 | Apr 29 | Apr 25 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 |
| 24°F | Apr 27 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 30 |
| 20°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 19 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 24 | Mar 21 | Mar 17 | Mar 12 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 14 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 6 | Oct 10 |
| 32°F | Sep 21 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 |
| 28°F | Sep 29 | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 30 |
| 24°F | Oct 8 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 6 | Nov 11 |
| 20°F | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 15 | Nov 21 |
| 16°F | Oct 31 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 17 | Nov 20 | Nov 24 | Nov 29 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 155 | 149 | 144 | 140 | 137 | 133 | 129 | 123 | 118 |
| 32°F | 173 | 167 | 161 | 157 | 153 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 135 |
| 28°F | 195 | 188 | 183 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 164 | 159 | 150 |
| 24°F | 216 | 209 | 205 | 201 | 197 | 193 | 187 | 182 | 174 |
| 20°F | 235 | 228 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 202 | 194 |
| 16°F | 252 | 244 | 238 | 233 | 229 | 225 | 221 | 215 | 207 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,057
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 532
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,378
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,373
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,478
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,699
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,046
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,593 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,320 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,071 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 621 | 2 | 54 |
| May | 285 | 28 | 241 |
| June | 52 | 121 | 519 |
| July | 12 | 195 | 648 |
| August | 29 | 132 | 567 |
| September | 174 | 51 | 339 |
| October | 541 | 5 | 90 |
| November | 959 | 0 | 10 |
| December | 1,400 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 2 km from Jordan. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00214176 (Jordan 1SSW). Public domain.