Goodhue County Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Zumbrota. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 9 and the first fall freeze around September 30, a growing season of about 144 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 18, first September 21
- Median at 32°F
- last May 9, first September 30
- Median at 28°F
- last April 28, first October 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 31 | May 27 | May 23 | May 21 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 9 | May 4 |
| 32°F | May 22 | May 17 | May 14 | May 11 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 29 | Apr 24 |
| 28°F | May 12 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 18 | Apr 13 |
| 24°F | May 1 | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 3 |
| 20°F | Apr 21 | Apr 16 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 29 | Mar 22 |
| 16°F | Apr 12 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Apr 1 | Mar 30 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 13 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 19 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 |
| 32°F | Sep 17 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
| 28°F | Sep 26 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 22 |
| 24°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 13 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 22 | Oct 25 | Oct 29 | Nov 2 |
| 20°F | Oct 15 | Oct 20 | Oct 24 | Oct 28 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 4 | Nov 8 | Nov 13 |
| 16°F | Oct 26 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 4 | Nov 7 | Nov 11 | Nov 14 | Nov 18 | Nov 24 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 145 | 140 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 124 | 120 | 114 | 108 |
| 32°F | 163 | 156 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 141 | 136 | 133 | 127 |
| 28°F | 183 | 177 | 172 | 168 | 164 | 160 | 155 | 151 | 144 |
| 24°F | 208 | 201 | 196 | 191 | 187 | 182 | 177 | 172 | 166 |
| 20°F | 226 | 219 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 193 | 185 |
| 16°F | 243 | 237 | 231 | 227 | 223 | 219 | 215 | 211 | 203 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,127
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 507
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,301
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,303
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,419
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,651
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,008
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,600 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,336 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,070 | 0 | 9 |
| April | 620 | 2 | 56 |
| May | 294 | 26 | 234 |
| June | 60 | 114 | 504 |
| July | 15 | 187 | 637 |
| August | 33 | 127 | 559 |
| September | 185 | 45 | 325 |
| October | 552 | 5 | 87 |
| November | 969 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,395 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 13.1 km from Goodhue County. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00219249 (Zumbrota). Public domain.