Chatfield Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Preston. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 14 and the first fall freeze around September 28, a growing season of about 136 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 24, first September 19
- Median at 32°F
- last May 14, first September 28
- Median at 28°F
- last May 4, first October 5
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 4 | Jun 1 | May 30 | May 27 | May 24 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 10 |
| 32°F | May 27 | May 23 | May 20 | May 16 | May 14 | May 11 | May 9 | May 5 | May 1 |
| 28°F | May 18 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 4 | May 1 | Apr 29 | Apr 26 | Apr 21 |
| 24°F | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 12 | Apr 8 |
| 20°F | Apr 29 | Apr 23 | Apr 19 | Apr 15 | Apr 11 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 30 |
| 16°F | Apr 19 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 24 | Mar 18 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 5 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 27 | Oct 2 |
| 32°F | Sep 15 | Sep 19 | Sep 22 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 |
| 28°F | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 14 | Oct 18 |
| 24°F | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 13 | Oct 16 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 29 |
| 20°F | Oct 13 | Oct 19 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 26 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 9 |
| 16°F | Oct 24 | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 135 | 129 | 124 | 121 | 117 | 114 | 110 | 105 | 98 |
| 32°F | 153 | 148 | 144 | 140 | 136 | 132 | 128 | 124 | 118 |
| 28°F | 173 | 167 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 151 | 147 | 143 | 137 |
| 24°F | 195 | 188 | 183 | 179 | 175 | 172 | 168 | 163 | 157 |
| 20°F | 218 | 210 | 205 | 200 | 196 | 192 | 187 | 183 | 175 |
| 16°F | 240 | 232 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 204 | 195 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 8,153
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 452
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,166
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,179
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,307
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,553
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 927
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,585 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,313 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,062 | 0 | 10 |
| April | 640 | 2 | 50 |
| May | 311 | 22 | 219 |
| June | 72 | 97 | 476 |
| July | 22 | 166 | 609 |
| August | 41 | 118 | 542 |
| September | 196 | 43 | 314 |
| October | 571 | 4 | 79 |
| November | 962 | 0 | 7 |
| December | 1,378 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 21.4 km from Chatfield. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00216654 (Preston). Public domain.