Brainerd Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Brainerd. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 8 and the first fall freeze around September 29, a growing season of about 141 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 19, first September 20
- Median at 32°F
- last May 8, first September 29
- Median at 28°F
- last April 30, first October 8
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 1 | May 28 | May 25 | May 22 | May 19 | May 16 | May 13 | May 9 | May 5 |
| 32°F | May 21 | May 16 | May 13 | May 10 | May 8 | May 5 | May 3 | May 1 | Apr 28 |
| 28°F | May 11 | May 7 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 17 |
| 24°F | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 24 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 11 | Apr 7 |
| 20°F | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 |
| 16°F | Apr 18 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 4 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 27 | Mar 20 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 6 | Sep 11 | Sep 15 | Sep 18 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 |
| 32°F | Sep 16 | Sep 21 | Sep 24 | Sep 27 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
| 28°F | Sep 25 | Sep 30 | Oct 2 | Oct 5 | Oct 8 | Oct 11 | Oct 15 | Oct 18 | Oct 23 |
| 24°F | Oct 4 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 31 | Nov 4 |
| 20°F | Oct 16 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 10 | Nov 16 |
| 16°F | Oct 29 | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 6 | Nov 9 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 23 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 141 | 135 | 131 | 127 | 123 | 119 | 116 | 112 | 105 |
| 32°F | 159 | 153 | 149 | 145 | 141 | 138 | 135 | 130 | 125 |
| 28°F | 179 | 173 | 168 | 164 | 161 | 158 | 153 | 148 | 141 |
| 24°F | 202 | 195 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 178 | 174 | 169 | 163 |
| 20°F | 221 | 214 | 210 | 205 | 202 | 198 | 194 | 190 | 183 |
| 16°F | 236 | 230 | 226 | 222 | 218 | 214 | 210 | 206 | 200 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 9,053
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 365
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,840
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,908
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,084
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,378
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 797
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,742 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,452 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,190 | 0 | 3 |
| April | 723 | 0 | 27 |
| May | 334 | 15 | 194 |
| June | 85 | 72 | 437 |
| July | 26 | 148 | 587 |
| August | 48 | 100 | 518 |
| September | 237 | 28 | 264 |
| October | 637 | 1 | 52 |
| November | 1,064 | 0 | 3 |
| December | 1,516 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 1.7 km from Brainerd. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00210939 (Brainerd). Public domain.