Blackduck Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Blackduck. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around May 24 and the first fall freeze around September 17, a growing season of about 115 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last June 4, first September 6
- Median at 32°F
- last May 24, first September 17
- Median at 28°F
- last May 13, first September 28
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Jun 24 | Jun 16 | Jun 12 | Jun 7 | Jun 4 | Jun 2 | May 30 | May 27 | May 23 |
| 32°F | Jun 6 | Jun 1 | May 29 | May 26 | May 24 | May 21 | May 18 | May 14 | May 9 |
| 28°F | May 27 | May 22 | May 18 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 7 | May 3 | Apr 30 |
| 24°F | May 16 | May 12 | May 6 | May 4 | May 2 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 24 | Apr 20 |
| 20°F | May 5 | May 1 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 13 | Apr 8 |
| 16°F | Apr 26 | Apr 22 | Apr 19 | Apr 16 | Apr 13 | Apr 11 | Apr 8 | Apr 5 | Apr 1 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Aug 19 | Aug 26 | Aug 31 | Sep 3 | Sep 6 | Sep 9 | Sep 13 | Sep 16 | Sep 21 |
| 32°F | Sep 1 | Sep 6 | Sep 10 | Sep 14 | Sep 17 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 |
| 28°F | Sep 10 | Sep 15 | Sep 20 | Sep 25 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 8 | Oct 13 |
| 24°F | Sep 21 | Sep 27 | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 15 | Oct 19 | Oct 25 |
| 20°F | Oct 1 | Oct 9 | Oct 14 | Oct 19 | Oct 22 | Oct 26 | Oct 30 | Nov 2 | Nov 7 |
| 16°F | Oct 13 | Oct 22 | Oct 28 | Oct 31 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 113 | 106 | 101 | 96 | 92 | 86 | 81 | 76 | 66 |
| 32°F | 136 | 129 | 124 | 119 | 115 | 111 | 106 | 100 | 91 |
| 28°F | 158 | 150 | 146 | 141 | 137 | 132 | 128 | 122 | 114 |
| 24°F | 179 | 173 | 168 | 163 | 159 | 155 | 151 | 145 | 137 |
| 20°F | 203 | 196 | 190 | 186 | 182 | 177 | 173 | 167 | 159 |
| 16°F | 220 | 214 | 210 | 207 | 203 | 199 | 194 | 189 | 182 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 10,094
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 195
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 3,258
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 2,386
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 1,635
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,006
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 516
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,871 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,551 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,296 | 0 | 1 |
| April | 806 | 0 | 15 |
| May | 429 | 7 | 133 |
| June | 144 | 33 | 344 |
| July | 59 | 87 | 493 |
| August | 93 | 57 | 430 |
| September | 315 | 10 | 187 |
| October | 723 | 0 | 32 |
| November | 1,166 | 0 | 0 |
| December | 1,643 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 7.2 km from Blackduck. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00210809 (Blackduck). Public domain.