Alden Frost Dates and Growing Season
Frost and the growing season
NOAA's 1991-2020 freeze probabilities for Wells. A median date has an even chance of a later freeze in spring, or an earlier one in fall.
The last spring freeze typically comes around April 30 and the first fall freeze around October 6, a growing season of about 158 days.
- Median at 36°F
- last May 10, first September 29
- Median at 32°F
- last April 30, first October 6
- Median at 28°F
- last April 20, first October 17
Last freeze in spring
The chance of a later freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one spring in ten still freezes after the date; planting after the 10 percent date for 32°F is the cautious choice.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | May 24 | May 19 | May 15 | May 13 | May 10 | May 8 | May 5 | May 2 | Apr 28 |
| 32°F | May 14 | May 9 | May 6 | May 3 | Apr 30 | Apr 28 | Apr 25 | Apr 21 | Apr 16 |
| 28°F | May 6 | Apr 30 | Apr 27 | Apr 23 | Apr 20 | Apr 17 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 5 |
| 24°F | Apr 26 | Apr 21 | Apr 18 | Apr 14 | Apr 10 | Apr 7 | Apr 5 | Apr 2 | Mar 26 |
| 20°F | Apr 19 | Apr 13 | Apr 9 | Apr 6 | Apr 3 | Mar 31 | Mar 28 | Mar 23 | Mar 17 |
| 16°F | Apr 11 | Apr 6 | Apr 2 | Mar 31 | Mar 26 | Mar 22 | Mar 18 | Mar 15 | Mar 10 |
First freeze in fall
The chance of an earlier freeze than the date shown. At 10 percent, one fall in ten freezes before the date.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | Sep 16 | Sep 20 | Sep 23 | Sep 26 | Sep 29 | Oct 1 | Oct 4 | Oct 7 | Oct 11 |
| 32°F | Sep 24 | Sep 28 | Oct 1 | Oct 3 | Oct 6 | Oct 9 | Oct 12 | Oct 16 | Oct 20 |
| 28°F | Oct 1 | Oct 5 | Oct 10 | Oct 14 | Oct 17 | Oct 20 | Oct 23 | Oct 26 | Oct 31 |
| 24°F | Oct 12 | Oct 18 | Oct 21 | Oct 24 | Oct 27 | Oct 30 | Nov 1 | Nov 5 | Nov 11 |
| 20°F | Oct 23 | Oct 28 | Nov 1 | Nov 2 | Nov 5 | Nov 8 | Nov 11 | Nov 16 | Nov 21 |
| 16°F | Nov 1 | Nov 3 | Nov 7 | Nov 10 | Nov 12 | Nov 16 | Nov 19 | Nov 22 | Nov 28 |
Growing season length
Days between the last spring and first fall freeze at each threshold, with the chance of a season at least that long.
| Threshold | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 36°F | 158 | 152 | 148 | 144 | 141 | 137 | 132 | 127 | 120 |
| 32°F | 178 | 171 | 166 | 162 | 158 | 154 | 151 | 146 | 139 |
| 28°F | 197 | 190 | 185 | 181 | 177 | 173 | 168 | 164 | 158 |
| 24°F | 219 | 211 | 206 | 201 | 197 | 192 | 188 | 183 | 175 |
| 20°F | 237 | 229 | 222 | 218 | 215 | 211 | 207 | 201 | 193 |
| 16°F | 255 | 246 | 241 | 236 | 231 | 226 | 222 | 216 | 210 |
How often it gets that cold
The share of years with at least one night at or below each temperature.
- 36°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 32°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 28°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 24°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 20°F or colder
- 100% of years
- 16°F or colder
- 100% of years
Degree days
A degree day is one degree of the daily mean temperature beyond a base, for one day. Heating degree days count cold (the fuel a house burns), cooling degree days heat, growing degree days the warmth a crop needs; each crop has its own base.
- Heating degree days, base 65°F
- 7,753
- Cooling degree days, base 65°F
- 668
- Growing degree days, base 40°F
- 4,672
- Growing degree days, base 45°F
- 3,644
- Growing degree days, base 50°F
- 2,720
- Growing degree days, base 55°F
- 1,913
- Growing degree days, base 60°F
- 1,225
Growing degree days by month, base 50°F
Heating and cooling by month
| Month | Heating DD | Cooling DD | Growing DD 50 |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 1,573 | 0 | 0 |
| February | 1,284 | 0 | 0 |
| March | 1,022 | 0 | 12 |
| April | 585 | 3 | 69 |
| May | 244 | 39 | 286 |
| June | 42 | 156 | 564 |
| July | 9 | 226 | 682 |
| August | 23 | 164 | 606 |
| September | 150 | 72 | 383 |
| October | 515 | 8 | 109 |
| November | 938 | 0 | 10 |
| December | 1,370 | 0 | 0 |
What this means
NOAA computes these from the daily lows at the station over 1991-2020, fitting the dates of each year's last and first freeze to a distribution, so a date can be stated at any level of risk. 36°F is a frost risk for tender plants on a clear, calm night, since the ground cools below the air above it; 32°F is a freeze; 28°F is a hard freeze that kills most annuals.
The station is 15.5 km from Alden. Low ground, valleys and open fields freeze earlier and later than a town center or a hillside.
More
Sources
NOAA NCEI U.S. Climate Normals, 1991-2020, annual and seasonal normals for station USC00218808 (Wells). Public domain.